FAU poll shows 1 in 7 Republicans don't plan to vote for Trump in November

Anthony Man, South Florida Sun Sentinel on

Published in Political News

Polling released on the eve of voting in 15 states with Super Tuesday primaries shows former President Donald Trump remains the overwhelming choice of likely Republican primary voters as he continues cruising toward his party’s 2024 presidential nomination.

Still, the poll Monday from Florida Atlantic University shows more than a quarter of Republicans who said they plan to vote in one of Tuesday’s primaries said they don’t plan to vote for Trump.

Overall Trump is crushing his last remaining competitor, former Gov. Nikki Haley of South Carolina, 73% to 27%.

There are differences across the 15 states holding Super Tuesday primaries. Trump generally performs best in the South, and not quite as strongly on the coasts, the Upper Midwest and the Mountain states.

But there’s nothing in the Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research/PolCom Lab poll results to suggest anything other than widespread Trump victories.

“It shows a pretty solid grasp on GOP primary voters by the former president,” said Kevin Wagner, an FAU political scientist.


Super Tuesday

Trump has staggering leads in almost all the 15 Super Tuesday states. That’s true in the country’s most conservative, southern states voting Tuesday: Alabama, 80%; Arkansas, 92%; Oklahoma, 89%; and Tennessee, 83%.

He’s also doing well, though not quite as strongly, in some coastal states seen by many as far more liberal bastions: California, 76%, and Massachusetts, 66%.

There are two states where the contest is far closer: Virginia, where Trump is ahead of Haley 55% to 45%, and Vermont, where he leads by 51% to 49%. The sample sizes are relatively small, and Wagner cautioned against making predictions about those two states based on the poll results.


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