Tropical depression could form this week in Gulf: forecasters

Robin Webb and Steve Svekis, South Florida Sun Sentinel on Oct 4, 2026

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A trough of low pressure in the Gulf near Mexico’s Yucatan on Sunday could become a tropical depression later this week as it drifts north, forecasters said.

Initially given a 20% chance of development within the next seven days by the National Hurricane Center, that number was increased to 40% by Sunday afternoon.

“A dip in the jet stream is forecast to push a cold front into the Gulf [this] week where it will settle and stall. Sometimes an orphaned front can be the trigger for a tropical system,” Fox Weather hurricane expert Bryan Norcross wrote on his Hurricane Intel blog. “The upper-level winds might let up enough after the front arrives to allow a low-pressure system to develop.”

So far in the Atlantic this season, no hurricanes have formed. It is the first time no hurricanes have formed prior to Oct. 1 in the satellite observation era, which began in 1966.

Hurricane season ends Nov. 30. The next storm to form would be Isaias.

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