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Dan Caesar's Thursday night NFL pick

BUCCANEERS AT FALCONS Time: 8:25 EDT TV: CBS, NFL Network Weather: Dome Line: Falcons by 6 1/2. Synopsis: Both teams coming off clunkers, Tampa losing to a team that had a QB making his first NFL start -- STL's Austin Davis -- and Atlanta having a lackluster outing in Cincy. But the advantage here goes to the Falcons, as they are at home -- where they already have beaten New Orleans -- and winless Tampa hits the road for the first time. Look for Falcons QB Matt Ryan to get back on track in the Georgia Dome, where he threw for 448 yards and three TDs in his last outing. And Atlanta has the league's second-ranked offense to face the No. 14 defense. Meanwhile, the Falcons' 'D' should ...

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