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Rents are finally falling in Los Angeles. But it's still not enough for many

Terry Castleman, Los Angeles Times on

Published in Home and Consumer News

But the recent population changes have not been uniform across the state.

The recent data outline a trend: In Northern California, rents rose year over year in February for several counties by as much as 3.76%, while rents dropped in most large Southern California counties.

Los Angeles County's 2.5% decrease was the second biggest of any in the state.

Alameda County, an exception to rising rents in the Bay Area, recorded rents falling 4.7% over last February, representing the 19th biggest annual drop in the U.S.

Nationwide, the 10 counties with the biggest drops in rent over last February were all in states that have had population booms but have also added housing in recent years: Florida, Alabama, Georgia and Texas. Census data shows that those same four states added more to their housing stock than California from 2020 through 2022.

Experts said that increased housing stock can keep rent prices down, even as population increases. They generally attribute rising rents in California to a lack of housing construction.

However, as the state's population growth has stagnated, some believe that demand may cool and dampen rent growth.

Orange County was an exception to falling rent in Southern California, with rents up 1.6%.

Falling rents suggest either that "supply has finally caught up or that slower economic growth and/or population outmigration has weakened demand," said Dowell Myers, a professor of policy, planning and demography at USC.

 

He added that the difference between Northern and Southern California could be indicative of demand being weakened more in SoCal than in the north.

"The best deals are occupied for a long time," Myers said, as people are reluctant to leave units with below-market prices.

"Young renters are more impacted by price changes because they don't have access to those deals" as they search for housing, he said.

Back in North Hollywood, Dingess bemoaned the recent rainy weather, which caused her and her fiancee to wonder why they pay to live in a state that normally has sunny weather most days of the year.

They are considering leaving. "If I wasn't bound here for work, we would not live here," she said.

"We've been contemplating moving to Europe," she said. "The quality of life seems way better out there."

She expects to leave the Golden State in the next five years.


©2024 Los Angeles Times. Visit at latimes.com. Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC.

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