FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. — Florida on Saturday added 8,410 new cases of COVID-19 to its pandemic tally, ending its worst week for infections since Aug. 1.
Department of Health records show 56,732 people tested positive for the virus over the past week, continuing a monthlong trend.
Florida's surge is part of a nationwide wave that on Friday hit a pandemic record of 195,542 new cases across the country, according to Johns Hopkins University.
The state experienced a 49.2% increase over the 38,019 cases from the previous week. Two weeks ago, Florida had 34,530 people with new infections.
This week marks the most new cases for the state since the week ending Aug. 1. But it's still below the weekly record of 83,058 cases set July 18.
The big question is, what comes next? Public health experts are warning of increasing cases and deaths across the nation as fall turns into winter.
But it's not an exact science, even for the most trusted forecasts.
The COVID-19 ForecastHub is the best place to get a read on what to expect, said Justin Lessler, a Johns Hopkins epidemiology professor.
This site collects prediction models from more than two dozen sources, including a few Johns Hopkins models, and combines them to create one ensemble forecast. This the same approach seen in weather reports, only this time it's for the highly infectious disease that is rattling the U.S. and the world.
"It's the same way we forecast hurricanes," Lessler said.