Trump leads Biden in all seven expected swing states under RealClearPolitics’ average of recent polling — though Trump’s lead in Pennsylvania is under 1 percentage point, with a narrow 46.2 percent to 45.6 percent lead. In Nevada, Trump has a 5.6 percentage point lead (46.3 percent to 40.7 percent). He also leads in Arizona by 5.2 points (47.8 percent to 42.6 percent).

On Wednesday, Biden is slated to begin the day in Phoenix with a White House event touting his domestic agenda, which as a whole remains unpopular with most voters. From there, Biden is scheduled to fly to Texas for two campaign receptions on Wednesday in Dallas. He will wrap the trip by jetting to Houston on Thursday for one more Lone Star State campaign reception before returning to Washington.

Biden is expected to tout new jobs created under his watch in Nevada and Arizona, the campaign official told reporters Monday. Part of that message will be his support of unionized workers, the official said, adding Biden could mention Trump calling those same workers “dues suckers.”

The president will also seek to convince voters in both states that his policies would create even more jobs, while Trump’s policy proposals would take them away.

Expect to see the president more often opting away from large rallies, instead holding smaller-scale events like ones last week in Wisconsin. Biden likes “being able to engage supporters, volunteers, voters, in those settings in a personal way,” the official said. “I think everyone got a handshake, everyone got a picture with the boss. … They were thrilled to see the president and they were fired up. And the president, in turn, was thrilled to see them and he was fired up.”

Yet, the upbeat call and memo came as Biden trails Trump in the remaining battleground states that analysts have predicted could decide who is sworn in on Jan. 20, 2025. Trump is up by 1 percentage point in Wisconsin, 3.5 percentage points in Michigan, 5.5 points in North Carolina and 5.7 points in Georgia, according to RealClearPolitics’ tabulations.

Trump has looked to shore up his leads in many of those places, recently holding campaign events in Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Georgia.

The Biden campaign official said Trump’s campaign is “bleeding money in legal bills” as the former president fights criminal charges in New York, Florida and Georgia.

Another part of the campaign’s strategy is to court anti-Trump Republican and independent voters, with the official saying campaign officials believe many GOP primary voters who picked former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley over Trump in recent months could vote for Biden in November.

“We think about persuading these voters to come and join us in the first place, as opposed to simply talking to them at the very end,” the campaign official said. “We take it very seriously and want to have a long relationship of trust to earn votes.”

Trump has criticized GOP donors and voters who supported Haley before she suspended her campaign for the nomination, saying he does not want them under his 2024 tent. But in other moments, Trump has courted Haley voters.

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