The world faces the possibility of a Third World War, a worst-case scenario that could destroy the earth and its human inhabitants. Unlike in 1945, when the United States was the only country with nuclear weapons, in 2022 a total of seven nations (the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, China, India, Pakistan and North Korea) have...Read more
Hispanic Heritage Month has just begun; it's a busy time for me. This time of year, I receive numerous invitations for media interviews, public speaking and other projects.
But earlier this week, I got an unexpected media request. A reporter from my local (Orlando, Florida) CBS affiliate wanted to know my thoughts on online criticism of the ...Read more
Among Vladimir Putin's greatest fears is the further strengthening and expansion of the 30-member NATO military alliance. He sees Europe and the world from a nostalgic mid-1980s peak-of-Soviet-power perspective when the Russian Socialist Republic was the epicenter of a Moscow-dominated empire surrounded by 14 other Soviet Socialist republics ...Read more
This column is the last chapter of my book, "If History Is of Any Value: Politics, Culture, and the Unimaginable Event of 2019-2022" (forthcoming in December 2022).
The book begins with columns written between May and September 2020 that traced parallels between the antebellum and Civil War periods and America's contemporary radicalized ...Read more
U.S.-CHINA RELATIONS: If we think of the 1970s U.S.-China rapprochement as a video, it began to play in reverse in 1989 after the Chinese government's massacre of pro-democracy protesters in Tiananmen Square. Remember the Square's 33-foot-tall foam-and-papier-mache statue toppled by Chinese soldiers? And who can forget the so-called Tank Man who...Read more
This is part three of a six-part column that examines global geopolitical readjustments since 2019 and the strengthening of two allied blocks of authoritarian nations in a standoff with two blocks of democratic states. I utilize historical perspectives to assess the likelihood of the expansion of war into Europe, Asia and beyond: the dreadful ...Read more
An examination of maps of Europe and Eurasia helps to understand Russia's geopolitical paranoia and its desire to conquer Ukraine, destabilize NATO and the EU and subvert democracy across the world. Russia is sandwiched between Europe's "full" or "flawed" democracies with which it shares a 2,665-mile-long border; and the United States and Japan,...Read more
Back in March 2020, I commented on the possibility of new civil wars and international armed conflicts. Among the world's most explosive tensions with the potential to ignite into conflagrations I recognized Israel and Iran, India and Pakistan; North Korea and the United States and its Asian allies; and the United States and China over Taiwan. ...Read more
My March 2020 column also offered prognostications on the worldwide political and geopolitical repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic, including a rise in authoritarianism, a concomitant erosion of democracy, a spike in civil and human rights violations, intensification of popular protests and the explosion of new wars.
"Liberal democracy," I ...Read more
Precisely at the time when the experts quoted in the two previous parts of this column were being surveyed, I was writing the column "Pivotal Moment? What History Tells Us about COVID-19's Future Impact."
MY TWO CENTS' WORTH
Like my colleagues in other disciplines, I ventured into some general prognostications, which I called "potential ...Read more
While some of the economic and geopolitical predictions of experts surveyed by Politico magazine, Foreign Affairs, Devex and The Guardian in March and April of 2020 materialized (and others did not), forecasts in matters of culture, particularly political culture and social values, were completely off the mark.
Yes, it is easier (albeit still ...Read more
One of my motivations for becoming a regular columnist and later going into syndication with Creators in 2020 was the realization that the COVID-19 pandemic would be a pivotal historical phenomenon with deep and long-lasting global ramifications. For the foreseeable future, I ascertained, there would be a lot to write about, and a historian's ...Read more