Football / Sports

Working the Super Bowl prop bets

My guess is that colleague Mike Kern will crow about his very successful run at picking last year's props. Good for him. He did a fine job, especially nailing Joe Flacco to account for three touchdowns (at odds of 7-1) and winning MVP (2-1).

Me? I hit a few, but I had the Niners laying four and they lost outright. Oh, well, thankfully this is for entertainment only.

Seattle and Denver each have good defenses and reasonably conservative coaches, so I'm thinking plenty of field goals.

The Seahawks kicked three in each of their two postseason games and the Broncos banged in four in the AFC Championship. The line is 3.5 and if the game becames an affair of punches and counterpunches, that number should be within reach early in the second half. Granted, this isn't Mile High, but weather isn't expected to be an issue, either. Take the over.

The money line that Richard Sherman will not record an interception is -$240 and that would be my call. Not that Sherman isn't capabale -- the guy's the best cornerback in the business -- I just can't see Peyton Manning throwing ducks at him very often.

The longshots on my board are which guy will score the first touchdown. If we were in Vegas, two things would be happening right now. One, Kern would be getting me a Bud Light. Two, I'd be at the sportsbook putting 25 units on Eric Decker (10-1) and Doug Baldwin (15-1) to score the first touchdown.

Denver has covered eight of its last 11, with two of those exceptions being against division rival San Diego. I like the Broncos laying 2.5.

Finally, I'd grab the Broncos at -$120 to be the last team to score. This would give me a rooting interest late in the game when I can't force down another chicken wing and I can't find Kern to get me another beer.



Last year, I came within that late safety of going seven-for-seven. That's so unlike me, so please take it into consideration this time around. So for better or whatever, here goes. As always, may the force be with you.

Let's start with the national anthem. I don't know anything about Renee Fleming, except that she's a big-time soprano. This usually goes over, but 2 minutes, 25 seconds sounds like a lot. So I'm thinking under.

Speaking of temperature, I'll also take the over 30 degrees at kickoff, though I'd advise getting as many updates as possible before taking the plunge. Right now, the forecast calls for a high of 40 and low of 29. Since they're teeing it up at 6:30, I figure that puts the odds in my favor. Research.

How about Carmelo Anthony's points on Saturday over Peyton Manning's completions? I realize the Knicks are playing the Heat, which usually isn't a good thing. But they're at home, and Melo's averaging 27 a game. Lately it seems more like 47. If he gets in the high 20s I'll take my chances. And I'm a Peyton guy. I'm hoping that Knicks game goes quadruple overtime, at least.

I'm also a Tiger Woods guy. But he struggled last week in his 2014 debut. So I'll try Demaryius Thomas catches against Tiger's fourth-round birdies at the Dubai Classic. I know this one might bite me, but if Thomas can get around five, it could be interesting. And hopefully profitable.

While I'm hardly a Bruno Mars expert, you do need something to get through halftime besides more wings. So I'll take a total stab and go with "Just The Way You Are" at 8-1 to be the first song he sings. It was his first No. 1 hit. More research.

For something more traditional, how about either Golden Tate or Julius Thomas, both 12-1, to score the first touchdown? Hey, we had Anquan Boldin last year at 10. It happens.

And, just because, I'll try under for longest rush by both Knowshon Moreno (14.5 yards) and Marshawn Lynch (20.5). I'll also take under for longest TD (41.5) and total TDs (6.5). I'll do the same with Percy Harvin, on both total receiving yards (45.5) and total receptions (4.5).

See you at the cashier's window.

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