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Political consultant Dick Morris has been credited with turning around Bill Clinton's campaign, leading to his second term as President. In ...
Read more about Dick Morris.
Political consultant Dick Morris has been credited with turning around Bill Clinton's campaign, leading to his second term as President. In ...
Read more about Dick Morris.
Why Won't Hillary Adopt the Huckabee Option?
Dick Morris
Okay, so Hillary Clinton is staying in the presidential race despite
losing among elected delegates, facing a slimming lead among
super-delegates, losing the popular vote and being behind by two to
one in the number of states carried. She slogs on, hoping against hope
for a sudden turnaround in the race.
Apart from the psychological reasons for her stubbornness, is there a more subtle political calculation going on? Is she continuing her race so as to have a platform from which to continue to bash Barack Obama in the hopes of so damaging him that he can't win the general election? Is she doing this to keep her options alive for the 2012 presidential race?
Hillary is obviously entitled to keep running until Obama has secured the votes necessary for the nomination and certainly it is understandable that she would want to run until the last popular vote is counted. But must she run a negative, slash-and-burn campaign? Must she use her time on the platform and on television to belittle, mock, deride and try to destroy the man who will eventually be the candidate of her own party?
Mike Huckabee felt similarly justified in staying in the race for the Republican nomination until McCain reached the majority threshold required for nomination. He contested the Texas primary vigorously, even though his earlier losses in South Carolina and Florida made it most unlikely that he could win the nomination. But he chose to run a positive campaign. He didn't knock McCain. He just articulated the case for his own candidacy.
But Hillary won't avail herself of that option because it does not serve her long-term fallback position: a shot at the nomination in 2012. If Obama is elected this year, he will seek re-election in 2012 and Hillary would have to face taking on an incumbent in a primary in her own party if she wanted to run, a daunting task. But if McCain wins, the nomination in 2012 will be open. And it might be worth having. McCain will be 76 years old, and the Republican Party will have been in power for 12 years. Not since FDR and Harry Truman has a party lasted that long in power. When the Republicans tried to do so, in 1980 and 1992, they fell flat on their face.
Hillary is using white blue-collar fears of Barack Obama to try to stop him from getting nominated or elected. She is playing on his "elitism" by hammering him on blue-collar issues and is mincing no words in painting him as a stranger to blue-collar white America.
Hillary is attracting the votes of cops, firefighters, construction workers and union members. Are they in love with Hillary? They can't stand her. But they are terrified of the Rev. Wright, William Ayers and the various influences to which Obama seems to be subject. By playing on those fears, Hillary is undermining Obama's ability to get elected.
This is not a byproduct of her continued candidacy -- it is the goal. She, the consummate realist, must know that she has no practical shot at the nomination herself after the numbing loss in North Carolina and her paper-thin margin in Indiana. But she welcomes the opportunity an ongoing candidacy offers to bash Obama and drive a wedge between him and the voters he must have to beat McCain.
The question is how long Democratic primary voters and the party leadership will let her go on hitting their ultimate nominee. Will they bring Hillary up short and speak out about the harm she is doing to their party's prospects by her refusal to recognize reality?
Hillary doesn't have to pull out. She is entitled to run in the remaining states. But she should curtail her negative campaign and adopt the Huckabee strategy: maximize your own vote share but don't beat up the party nominee. Unless, of course, that is her goal all along.
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To find out more about Dick Morris and read features by other Creators Syndicate writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate web page at www.creators.com. Distributed By Creators Syndicate Inc.
Copyright 2008 Dick Morris And Eileen Mcgann
This news arrived on: 05/08/2008
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Posted Comments:
05-14-2008 06:17
SUZU OF ROCKAWAY, NY wrote:
MEN & MISCHIEF
TALKING OUT OF BOTH YOUR FRONT & REAR MOUTH IS COMMON FOR MEN.
THEY ARE TRAINED TO HAVE 20 -20 HINDSIGHT.
WOMEN ARE TRAINED TO CLEAN UP THE MESS LEFT BY THEIR SONS, HUSBANDS, FATHERS, RELIGIOUS LEADERS & PRESIDENTS.
PERHAPS THE 54% OF US WHO WOULD NOT SEND OUR SONS TO DIE FOR UNKNOWN REASONS SHOULD BE RUNNING THE COUNTRY,
SUZAN
LEAGUE OF WOMEN VOTERS,
DELEGATE TO UN'S NGO 1998-2007
THEY ARE TRAINED TO HAVE 20 -20 HINDSIGHT.
WOMEN ARE TRAINED TO CLEAN UP THE MESS LEFT BY THEIR SONS, HUSBANDS, FATHERS, RELIGIOUS LEADERS & PRESIDENTS.
PERHAPS THE 54% OF US WHO WOULD NOT SEND OUR SONS TO DIE FOR UNKNOWN REASONS SHOULD BE RUNNING THE COUNTRY,
SUZAN
LEAGUE OF WOMEN VOTERS,
DELEGATE TO UN'S NGO 1998-2007
05-10-2008 14:23
Tom wrote:
falling apart
Hilary only cares about her own political career. If she cared about the party, she would drop out and let Obama take the nomination. She won't win the nomination, so all she is doing is losing votes for the democratic party. Once Obama wins the nomination, her attacks will make people reconsider voting for Obama, so they will go with McCain.
05-09-2008 17:47
Joe Rodham wrote:
Dick Morris and Hillary
Dear Dick, You have made ruining Hillary's campaign your mission for months now. We have watched and often wondered aloud as to how and why Fox News has given you the opportunity to discredit Mrs. Clinton. Just so you know, all of us know and as soon as this campaign is over, your day is coming, ole' boy! Hillary has stood by silently and let you continue to slander her on a daily basis---PAYBACK will be HELL as she has a plan to destroy your career and future.
05-09-2008 13:15
ELA wrote:
12 Years in the White House?
A columnist you may be, but a mathematician you are not. And, a historian you are not. "FDR & Truman - the last time any party lasted that long??" What ever happened to Reagan and the first Bush. By my calculation, They were in the White House for 12 years.
05-09-2008 10:26
Colleen wrote:
Accusations against Hillary
I am a middle road conservative, registered Republican, and activist. This article seems an outrage to me. I haven't heard any excerpts nor seen anything in print that would justify the claim that Hillary is saying the things she is being accused of here. If fact Obama does far more bad mouthing than she. The way this thing shapes up is that no one can differ with Obama without being accused of being racist. I advance that far too many on the left are as racist as it gets.
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