Lula outright Brazil win in sight, DataFolha poll shows

Andrew Rosati, Bloomberg News on

Published in Political News

Brazil’s Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva appears to be on the cusp of securing the simple majority needed to win Sunday’s presidential vote outright, a new poll from DataFolha shows.

The front-runner has now 50% of valid votes in the first round, which excludes null and blank ballots, according to the survey published Thursday evening. A candidate needs more than 50% to avoid a runoff.

Three days before the polls open, Brazilians are closely watching whether Lula, 76, can manage to amass the support to beat incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro in single round. Already, a slew of polls have showed the leftist challenger within striking distance of doing so.

The survey by Datafolha, Brazil’s most influential pollster, further raised the stakes in a televised presidential debate scheduled later Thursday evening. It is the last time contenders will square off before the ballot, and a strong performance by Lula could push him over the line, analysts say.


Support for Bolsonaro, 67, appears to have stalled, leaving him a distant runner-up with 36%, the poll found.

In a second and final round, Datafolha forecasts Lula handily defeating Bolsonaro

Datafolha interviewed 6,800 people across Brazil between Sept. 27 and Sept. 29. The poll has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.

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