Biden hangs on to lead over Trump, Minnesota poll shows

By Patrick Condon, Star Tribune (Minneapolis) on

Published in Political News

MINNEAPOLIS - Former Vice President Joe Biden maintains a steady lead over President Donald Trump in Minnesota, propelled by strong support among women and younger voters, according to a new Star Tribune/MPR News/KARE 11 Minnesota Poll.

The poll found the Democratic challenger leading 48% to 42% over the Republican incumbent among likely Minnesota voters. Another 8% were undecided, while three third-party candidates together totaled 2%.

Biden's six-point lead in a potential swing state comes less than six weeks ahead of the Nov. 3 election, showing little change from the Democrat's 49% to 44% advantage in the last Minnesota Poll in May, before the Minneapolis police killing of George Floyd and the civil unrest that followed.

The new Minnesota Poll, taken Sept. 21-23, also was conducted in the days following the death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, prompting a partisan battle to fill her vacancy on the high court.

The poll found Biden's advantage largely driven by a 48-point lead over Trump in Hennepin and Ramsey counties, the state's two most highly populated. Trump held significant leads over Biden in northern and southern Minnesota in the poll, and a smaller edge in the other counties of the Twin Cities area.

The survey of 800 likely Minnesota voters has a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.


Trump and Biden have targeted Minnesota's 10 electoral votes in a bitterly fought presidential race overshadowed by a national debate over policing and race sparked by Floyd's death. Both campaigned in Minnesota this month as early voting got underway, made major advertising buys and dispatched high-profile surrogates as Trump seeks to expand the electoral map against Biden's persistent lead in national and swing-state polls.

The poll found some support for Biden among disaffected liberals.

"I did not vote for Hillary Clinton in 2016. But this year, enough's enough, man. Donald Trump has got to go," said Jesse Cromley, a 31-year-old marketer from Minneapolis who responded to the poll.

A Sen. Bernie Sanders supporter who protested Trump in downtown Minneapolis in 2019 and took to the streets again after Floyd's death, Cromley said he long ago made peace with voting for Biden, whose politics are more centrist than his own.


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