My Predictions for Biden's Probably Truncated Presidency
Beginning in March 2016, I repeatedly and almost famously warned overconfident Democrats -- who ridiculed me for saying so -- that Donald Trump would probably win the 2016 election. Days after Trump's "softly sensuous" inauguration, I accurately predicted the next four years: "Three scenarios show us what everyday life in Trumpian America will probably feel like: Third World dictatorships, prison and having an alcoholic parent."
"In a dictatorship," I noted, "particularly where the despot is a megalomaniac in the vein of a Saddam Hussein or a Muammar Gaddafi, citizens obsess over the Great Leader's every move." Never have the American people obsessed for four exhausting years over a president as we did over Trump and his autocratic style.
"People who have done time will tell you that it's important to study the guards, particularly the sadistic ones," I said. Like prison inmates, we studied Trump and his tweets and his strange, corrupt family incessantly in a vain attempt to isolate the methods to his madnesses.
As I concluded in January 2017: "It's never fun to be Cassandra."
Now it's time to weigh in on what President Joe Biden's first -- and, despite his recent statement to the contrary, almost certainly only -- term will probably look like.
Spoiler alert: It probably won't last four years.
There's a reason candidate Biden barely campaigned and almost never spoke extemporaneously, and that President Biden has only given one highly cringy press conference so far, a record low in the modern era. Biden, 78, is the oldest man to have taken the oath of office. And while a lot of 78-year-olds are physically vigorous and mentally sharp, Biden isn't one of them.
Biden's cabal of handlers from former President Obama's era are doing their best to hide their fading commander-in-chief and his obvious-to-all-non-Democrats infirmities, running the country from behind the scenes. His media allies have sacrificed their last vestige of dignity in their heroic support for the Dems' ridiculous "nothing to see here" narrative.
As professional gamblers evaluate the president's health and political performance, posted odds that he'll remain in office through Jan. 19, 2025 -- when he'll be 82 -- have already plunged from 75% to 60%. My guess is that no one is more aware of Biden's condition than Democratic National Committee bosses. They would like Biden to hang on until after the November 2022 midterm elections and then step aside in order to allow Vice President Kamala Harris a year of incumbency, which could bolster her case for 2024.
Biden can still read a speech. But he is a husk, a placeholder leader like Pope Benedict XVI, who, like Biden, was elected at age 78. Benedict resigned at age 85, citing old age.