What ever happened to the deficit hawks?
The Congressional Budget Office and the Joint Committee on Taxation don't believe it. They realistically assume that the economy won't grow over 2 percent a year on average over the next decade. The Federal Reserve estimates the fastest sustainable rate of economic growth will be 1.8 percent, given how slowly America's working-age population is growing, as well as the slow rate of productivity gains.
But Trump has already made a fetish out of discrediting anyone who comes up with facts he doesn't like, and other Republicans seem ready to join him.
Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.), who serves on the budget committee, says he doesn't want to rely to estimates coming from economists at the CBO and the Joint Tax Committee. He'd rather rely on supply-side economists outside of government who also believe in tooth fairies. "I do think it is time for us to have a real debate and to have real economists weighing in and we should take other things into account other than Joint Tax and CBO," Corker said last week.
Unfortunately for all the Republican tax cutters who used to be deficit hawks, we already have real-world historical evidence of what happens after massive tax cuts. Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush both cut taxes on the wealthy and ended up with huge budget deficits.
Besides, there's no reason to cut taxes on big corporations and the wealthy. If anything, their taxes should be raised.
Trump says we're "the highest taxed nation in the world." Rubbish. The most meaningful measure is taxes paid as a percentage of GDP. On this score, the United States has the fourth-lowest taxes of any major economy. (Only South Korea, Chile and Mexico ranking lower.)
American corporations aren't overtaxed. After taking deductions and tax credits, the typical U.S. corporation today pays an effective tax rate of 24 percent. That's only a tad higher than the average of 21 percent among advanced nations.
The rich aren't overtaxed. The wealthiest 1 percent in the U.S. pay the lowest taxes as a percentage of their income and total wealth of the top 1 percent in any major country -- and far lower than they paid in the U.S. during the first three decades after World War II, when the American economy grew faster than it has been growing since the Reagan tax cuts.
But we do have a deficit in public investment -- especially in education and infrastructure. And we do have a national debt that topped $20 trillion this year and is expected to grow by an additional $10 trillion over the next decade.
What's the answer? Raise taxes on big corporations and the wealthy. That's what rational politicians would do if they weren't in the pockets of big corporations and the wealthy.
(Robert Reich, a former U.S. Secretary of Labor, is professor of public policy at the University of California at Berkeley and the author of "Saving Capitalism: For the Many, Not the Few," now available in paperback. His new film, "Inequality for All," is now out on Amazon, DVD and On Demand. His daily blog is at www.facebook.com/RBReich/.)