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Depression forms, forecast to turn into Hurricane Hermine. South Florida in the cone

Alex Harris, Michelle Marchante, Miami Herald on

Published in Weather News

MIAMI — A tropical depression formed Friday morning in the hot waters of the Caribbean, a system that the National Hurricane Center expects to significantly strengthen and make landfall somewhere in Florida around Wednesday — potentially as a Category 2 hurricane.

Exactly where is the big question and concern, with nearly the entire peninsula potentially at risk. The first cone of concern is pointed near Fort Myers, but forecasters caution that the initial track could change.

The National Hurricane Center forecasts tropical depression nine to strengthen into a tropical storm sometime Friday. If it beats out other systems in the Atlantic, it would be named Hermine.

The Air Force Reserve is set to examine the depression later Friday.

On the current track, South Florida could see winds starting to pick up Tuesday night, although that could change. At five days out, the hurricane center’s error cone is nearly 200 miles wide, and the exact forecast for where the center of the storm (or its impacts) makes landfall could shift in coming days.

Jeff George, director of Florida’s public radio emergency network, urged Floridians to keep an eye on the forecast.

 

“Uncertainty persists in it’s long term forecast track, but Gulf Coast residents should stay alert,” he tweeted.

Future track still uncertain

On Friday morning, Tropical Depression Nine was still battling wind shear leftover from Hurricane Fiona’s run through the Caribbean earlier this week, which forecasters said will hold it back from strengthening into a tropical storm for a little longer, maybe later Friday.

The 8 a.m. advisory from the National Hurricane Center put it about 615 miles east-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica, and about 1,105 miles east-southeast of Havana, Cuba.

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