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System in the Caribbean could be tropical depression soon. Will it come to Florida? What models say

Michelle Marchante, Devoun Cetoute and Omar Rodríguez Ortiz, Miami Herald on

Published in Weather News

Here’s a forecast breakdown:

—Other disturbances

The other system with a depression chance is a tropical wave that is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on Thursday.

Forecasters say conditions could be friendly enough for the system to turn into a tropical depression this weekend as it slowly moves north, between west Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands.

The hurricane center Wednesday night upped its formation chances from 30% to 50% for the next 48 hours and from 50% to 60% chance of formation through the next five days.

The other disturbance forecasters are watching is several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.

 

The hurricane center said that while it’s in a “dry environment,” the system could see some “slow development” over the next few days while it moves northwest and then west over the Atlantic.

Forecasters are giving it a 20% chance of formation through the next 48 hours and a 30% chance of formation through the next five days.

—Hurricane Fiona

Fiona has strengthened into a Category 4 hurricane and is about 655 miles southwest of Bermuda and 1,365 miles south-southwest of Halifax, Nova Scotia, according to the hurricane center’s 8 p.m. advisory.

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