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Tropical Storm Bonnie could form 'at any time' Wednesday; 2 other systems still churning in Atlantic

Robin Webb, Angie DiMichele and Chris Perkins, South Florida Sun Sentinel on

Published in Weather News

FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. — Three storm systems are brewing in the Atlantic, one of which is likely to become Tropical Storm Bonnie “at any time” in the southeastern Caribbean and another could become a short-lived tropical depression near Texas, forecasters said Wednesday.

A third disturbance in the central Atlantic, which originated earlier this week off Africa’s west coast, is forecast to interact with a tropical wave and to approach the boundary between the Atlantic Ocean and the Caribbean Sea this weekend, according to the National Hurricane Center.

It is forecast to move west-northwest in the Atlantic and head in the general direction of South Florida.

However, it could hit storm-shredding wind shear and dissipate once it reaches the Caribbean, according to AccuWeather senior meteorologist Paul Walker.

“Vertical wind shear, which is not good for it as far as development, is expected to increase,” he said. “It’ll probably lose organization.”

Walker said conditions, for now, generally work against systems heading toward South Florida.

 

“I think it continues to be a case where these things continue to plow westward to the southern portion of the main development region (in the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico) and toward the south Caribbean and South American coast, at least for a while here,” he said.

As of 2 p.m. Wednesday, its odds of developing had risen slightly to 30% over the next five days, up from 20% previously.

The long-range outlook could change but at this point it doesn’t appear the system will bring rain to South Florida next week, forecasters said.

Meanwhile, the system in the northern Gulf of Mexico is expected to approach the Texas coast or northeast Mexico by early Thursday . It’s possible it could become a tropical depression, but it would quickly lose that status once it moves over inland Texas or Mexico, the hurricane center said.

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