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Tropical Storm Bonnie could form soon; forecasters still watching two other systems

Robin Webb and Angie DiMichele, South Florida Sun Sentinel on

Published in Weather News

FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. — Three storm systems are brewing in the Atlantic, one of which is likely to become Topical Storm Bonne in the southeastern Caribbean and another could become a short-lived tropical depression near Texas, forecasters said Wednesday.

A third disturbance in the central Atlantic, which originated earlier this week off Africa’s west coast, is forecast interact with a tropical wave and to approach the boundary between the Atlantic Ocean and the Caribbean Sea this weekend, according to the National Hurricane Center.

It is forecast to move west-northwest in the Atlantic and head in the general direction of South Florida.

However, it could hit storm-shredding wind shear and dissipate once it reaches the Caribbean, according to AccuWeather senior meteorologist Paul Walker.

“Vertical wind shear, which is not good for it as far as development, is expected to increase,” he said. “It’ll probably lose organization.”

Walker said conditions, for now, generally work against systems heading toward South Florida.

 

“I think it continues to be a case where these things continue to plow westward to the southern portion of the main development region [in the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico] and toward the south Caribbean and South American coast, at least for a while here,” he said.

As of 8 a.m. Wednesday, its odds of developing had risen slightly to 30% over the next five days, up from 20% previously.

Meanwhile, the system in the northern Gulf of Mexico is expected to approach the coast of the Lone Star State in the next day or so. It’s possible it could become a tropical depression, but it would quickly lose that status once it moves over inland Texas or Mexico, the hurricane center said.

It has been given it a 40% chance of developing in the next two to five days.

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