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Hurricane Julia could form in the Caribbean Sea. What the forecast shows

Michelle Marchante, Miami Herald on

Published in News & Features

MIAMI — A disturbance over the southern Caribbean Sea is expected to turn into a tropical depression soon, with the forecast calling for it to strengthen into a hurricane by the time it nears Nicaragua this weekend.

The National Hurricane Center began issuing advisories for Potential Tropical Cyclone Thirteen at 11 a.m. EDT Thursday. If it does turn into a tropical storm, it would be named Julia and would be the 10th named storm of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season.

A tropical storm warning is in effect for the Colombia coast from the Colombia/Venezuela border west to Riohacha. Based on the current forecast track, the system is not a threat to Florida.

“Seas to 11 ft are currently occurring with this system over the southern Caribbean,” the hurricane center’s National Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch said on Twitter.

The system is about 150 miles east-southeast of Curacao and about 310 miles east-southeast of he northern tip of Guajira Peninsula in Colombia, according to the hurricane center’s advisory at 11 a.m. Thursday. It has maximum sustained winds near 35 mph with higher gusts and has a 90% chance of formation within the next two to five days.


“The system could become a tropical depression by tonight, and is forecast to become a tropical storm on Friday,” the hurricane center said. “The system is then expected to become a hurricane by Sunday as it approaches the coast of Nicaragua.”

The hurricane center is also monitoring Tropical Depression 12, which is several hundred miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands in the eastern Atlantic. Forecasters say the system, which is far from land, is expected to turn into a remnant low soon, likely within the next day.


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