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Horse Racing / Sports

A handicapping guide to the Preakness

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A handicapping guide to the Preakness:

When: Saturday, 6:18 p.m. post time (Race 12)

Where: Pimlico Race Course, Baltimore

TV: NBC beginning at 4:30 p.m. EDT (NBCSN has undercard starting at 1 p.m.)

Wagering Info: 1-888-BET-2-WIN or www.parxracing.com/phonebet.php

Distance: 1 3/16 miles.

Weights: 126 pounds.

Purse: $1 million. First place: $600,000. Second place: $200,000. Third place: $110,000. Fourth place: $60,000.

Triple CrownMay 3: Kentucky Derby (winner: California Chrome)

May 17: Preakness Stakes

June 7: Belmont Stakes

1 Dynamic Impact

Morning Line: 12-1

Owner: John Oxley

Trainer: Mark Casse

Jockey: Miguel Mena 2014 Starts-1st-2nd-3rd: 3-2-1-0 2014 Earnings: $347,000

Last three: Illinois Derby (1st), maiden/Oaklawn (1st), maiden/Oaklawn (2nd).

Dick Jerardi's breakdown: Ran the race of his life to chase and eventually run down Midnight Hawk in the Illinois Derby. He got a 102 Beyer in that race after taking five races to break his maiden and never getting higher than an 88. Looks like a bounce candidate.

2 General A Rod

Morning Line: 15-1

Owner: Starlight & Skychai Racing

Trainer: Mike Maker

Jockey: Javier Castellano 2014 Starts-1st-2nd-3rd: 4-1-1-1 2014 Earnings: $240,000

Last three: Kentucky Derby (11th), Florida Derby (3rd), Fountain of Youth Stakes (2nd).

DJ's breakdown: Was a non-factor 11th in the Derby when far back off the early pace and in an uncomfortable circumstance. His good races were all when he was close to the pace so he just adds more speed to a race filled with early heat.

3 California Chrome

Morning Line: 3-5

Owner: Steve Coburn & Perry Martin

Trainer: Art Sherman

Jockey: Victor Espinoza 2014 Starts-1st-2nd-3rd: 4-4-0-0 2014 Earnings: $2,337,800

Last three: Kentucky Derby (1st), Santa Anita Derby (1st), San Felipe Stakes (1st).

DJ's breakdown: Kentucky Derby winner has been dominant in five consecutive races, winning by a combined 26 lengths and running away from every field at the top of the stretch. This could be more interesting as there is a lot of quality speed in the starting gate, but maybe CC is just too good.

4 Ring Weekend

Morning Line: 20-1

Owner: St. Elias Stable & West Point Thoroughbreds

Trainer: Graham Motion

Jockey: Alan Garcia 2014 Starts-1st-2nd-3rd: 4-2-2-0 2014 Earnings: $292,400

Last three: Calder Derby (2nd), Tampa Bay Derby (1st), maiden/Gulfstream (1st).

DJ's breakdown: Won Tampa Bay Derby when loose on an easy lead. That scenario will not happen here and none of his other races are close to good enough to win the Preakness.

5 Bayern

Morning Line: 10-1

Owner: Kaleem Shah Inc.

Trainer: Bob Baffert

Jockey: Rosie Napravnik 2014 Starts-1st-2nd-3rd: 4-2-1-1 2014 Earnings: $202,680

Last three: Derby Trial (2nd), Arkansas Derby (3rd), allowance/Santa Anita (1st).

DJ's breakdown: Has flashed significant early speed in all four of his races. Finished first in the Derby Trial, but was disqualified and placed second. Colt does not have the look of a classic distance horse. Be especially difficult with so many other fast horses in this race.

6 Ria Antonia

Morning Line: 30-1

Owner: Loooch Racing Stable & Christopher Dunn

Trainer: Tom Amoss

Jockey: Calvin Borel 2014 Starts-1st-2nd-3rd: 3-0-1-0 2014 Earnings: $$98,000

Last three: Kentucky Oaks (6th), Santa Anita Oaks (2nd), Rachel Alexander Stakes (4th).

DJ's breakdown: Fluke Breeders' Cup winner on DQ, mismanaged filly is on her fourth trainer after just eight races. Never close in the Kentucky Oaks and her best Beyer figure is just an 85. Doing her a disservice by running in this spot.

7 Kid Cruz

Morning Line: 20-1

Owner: Black Swan Stable & Vina Del Mar

Trainer: Linda Rice

Jockey: Julian Pimentel 2014 Starts-1st-2nd-3rd: 3-2-1-0 2014 Earnings: $$133,400

Last three: Federico Tesio Stakes (1st), Private Terms Stakes (1st), allowance/Aqueduct (2nd).

DJ's breakdown: Claimed for $50,000 in November, this colt's two rallies to win a pair of Maryland stakes have been amazing. Closed both times behind very slow paces and should get a very hot pace this time. KC will have to run an improved speed figure to win, but could certainly hit the board at a big price.

8 Social Inclusion

Morning Line: 5-1

Owner: Rontos Racing

Trainer: Manny Azpurua

Jockey: Luis Contreras 2014 Starts-1st-2nd-3rd: 3-2-0-1 2014 Earnings: $149,400

Last three: Wood Memorial (3rd), allowance/Gulfstream (1st), maiden/Gulfstream (1st).

DJ's breakdown: Got the highest 3-year-old Beyer figure (111) when blowing away Honor Code in a Gulfstream Park allowance. Lightly-raced colt ran a brilliant race when third in the Wood Memorial, battling through hot fractions and taking a clear in the stretch before tiring late. Be very dangerous if he can clear the field early.

9 Pablo Del Monte

Morning Line: 20-1

Owner: Susan Magnier, et. al.

Trainer: Wesley Ward

Jockey: Jeffrey Sanchez 2014 Starts-1st-2nd-3rd: 3-0-0-2 2014 Earnings: $100,000

Last three: Blue Grass Stakes (3rd), Hutcheson Stakes (3rd), Gulfstream Park Derby (4th).

DJ's breakdown: Set the pace in the Blue Grass on a surface that does not favor speed. Colt is another fast one in a race with a ton of speed, but may not be able to keep up with this group.

10 Ride On Curlin

Morning Line: 10-1

Owner: Daniel J. Dougherty

Trainer: Bill Gowan

Jockey: Joel Rosario 2014 Starts-1st-2nd-3rd: 5-1-1-2 2014 Earnings: $323,600

Last three: Kentucky Derby (7th), Arkansas Derby (2nd), Rebel Stakes (3rd).

DJ's breakdown: Did not have a good rail trip in the Derby under Calvin Borel when he lost momentum at a crucial point in the race and then came very wide. Finished seventh in Derby, but ran better than that. With a hot pace and a better trip, this colt could definitely hit the board.

STAFF PICKS

Dick Jerardi 3 California Chrome 7 Kid Cruz 10 Ride On Curlin 8 Social Inclusion

Ed Barkowitz 3 California Chrome 10 Ride On Curlin 7 Kid Cruz 8 Social Inclusion

Stan Hochman 5 Bayern 8 Social Inclusion 3 California Chrome 7 Kid Cruz

(c)2014 Philadelphia Daily News

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Distributed by MCT Information Services


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