From the ArcaMax Publishing, Politics Newsletter:
http://www.arcamax.com/news/politics/s-371823-237057
ATLANTA (UPI) -- John McCain and Barack Obama are neck and neck with
four months to go before U.S. voters mark their presidential ballots,
a poll released Tuesday indicates.
The CNN/Opinion Research Corp. survey does show Obama, the senator
from Illinois, with a 5-point advantage over McCain, the senator from
Arizona, 50 percent to 45 percent. However, with the statistical
margin of error, the race appears to be virtually a dead heat.
Last month, Obama held a 46 to 43 percent edge over McCain, the
pollsters said. Other recent national polls have produced similar
results.
The CNN/ORC poll indicates Obama's edge gets thinner when independent
candidate Ralph Nader and Libertarian candidate Bob Barr are inserted
in the mix. In that situation, Obama's lead over McCain slips to 46
percent to 43 percent, with Nader garnering 6 percent and Barr a 3
percent slice.
The poll, conducted June 26-29, surveyed 906 registered voters and
carries a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.