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Republicans Should Have Adopted Democrats' Rules -- and Vice Versa

From the Right / Michael Barone /

The unexpected successes, forecast by almost no one 12 months ago, of Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders in winning 40 percent and 42 percent in Republican and Democratic primaries and caucuses is widely taken as evidence of raging discontent among American voters.

There's something to that. But Trump's better-than-even chance of winning the ...Read more

Donald Trump Isn't the 'Presumptive Nominee' -- Not Yet, Anyway

From the Right / Michael Barone /

Donald Trump has declared himself, after following up his New York win April 19 with victories in five other Northeastern states Tuesday, the "presumptive nominee" of the Republican Party. Is it a done deal?

Not quite. Trump's 40 percent of total primary votes so far have yielded him 48 percent of pledged delegates -- not exactly the unfair ...Read more

Ethnicity Still Matters in the Politics of 2016

From the Right / Michael Barone /

Ethnicity still matters. That's one lesson I draw from the results so far of this year's Republican and Democratic primaries and caucuses.

We're encouraged to believe ethnicity doesn't matter much anymore; only race does. This is the implicit assumption behind the analyses that divide the electorate into four racial categories: whites, blacks...Read more

New York's Home-State Winners Have November Problems

From the Right / Michael Barone /

Home-state candidates notched up impressive victories in New York's presidential primaries Tuesday. Donald Trump topped 50 percent for the first time -- and handsomely, with 60 percent of Republican votes. And Hillary Clinton won 58 percent of Democratic votes in her adopted home state.

Trump's capture of 89 of New York's 95 delegates gets ...Read more

New York Exceptionalism and Donald Trump

From the Right / Michael Barone /

Noo Yawk. That's the state with this week's presidential primary, in which candidates who have spent time in New York recently are currently running ahead, according to polls.

Hillary Clinton, who as a resident of Chappaqua in suburban Westchester County was elected the state's junior senator in 2000 and 2006, leads Bernie Sanders, ...Read more

Donald Trump's Insincere Process Arguments

From the Right / Michael Barone /

"Gestapo tactics." That's how Donald Trump's recently installed campaign manager, Paul Manafort, characterized the Ted Cruz campaign's successful effort to win all 34 of Colorado's pledged national convention delegates at the long-scheduled Republican congressional district and state conventions.

"Today winning votes doesn't mean anything," ...Read more

The Tragic Deterioration of Washington's Great Society Subway

From the Right / Michael Barone /

If you live any distance beyond the Capital Beltway you probably didn't notice, but an important part of government in Washington shut down on Wednesday, March 16. That's when the Metro subway system's recently installed general manager, Paul Wiedefeld, ordered a one-day shutdown of the entire 117-mile system for emergency inspection of track-...Read more

Wisconsin Republicans Bid No Trump

From the Right / Michael Barone /

"Donald J. Trump withstood the onslaught of the establishment yet again." That's the first sentence in a Trump campaign statement tweeted out Tuesday night by the Washington Post's Robert Costa. It's also a strange way to respond to a solid defeat, reminiscent of the Monty Python knight who insists he is winning after both his arms are hacked ...Read more

Are Trump Voters Really Victims?

From the Right / Michael Barone /

What you hear when you listen to many fervent supporters of Donald Trump is that they are victims -- victims of globalization and trade agreements that have sent their jobs to Mexico or China. Victims of competition from illegal immigrants from Mexico willing to work for starvation wages. Victims of a Republican establishment that promised to ...Read more

Will Britain Leave or Remain in the European Union?

From the Right / Michael Barone /

On June 23, when Donald Trump will or will not have won the 1,237 delegates he needs to be nominated, voters in Britain will decide an issue as divisive as Trump's candidacy: whether the United Kingdom will remain in or leave the European Union.

It's not a decision that has attracted much attention in the United States. The Obama ...Read more

Does Social Connectedness Explain Trump's Appeal?

From the Right / Michael Barone /

How can one make sense of the electoral divisions in this year's Republican primaries and caucuses? The contours of Donald Trump's support and opposition don't fall on traditional lines.

There's not a regional division, for example. Trump's best states have been Massachusetts, Mississippi and Arizona. We're not seeing the divide between ...Read more

A Vote for Kasich Is a Vote for Trump

From the Right / Michael Barone /

Perhaps the most important results of the March 22 Republican primary in Arizona and caucus in Utah were numbers that didn't appear on your television screen, no matter how late you stayed up for the poll closing times. Those were the numbers of votes cast for Marco Rubio in Arizona -- 70,587 of them at this writing.

That was 17,595 more than...Read more

Donald Trump Has 37 percent. Hard to Get to 270 Electoral Votes

From the Right / Michael Barone /

Many Donald Trump supporters think he is a slam dunk to beat Hillary Clinton in the general election. The candidate himself certainly takes this view.

But Trump's analysis of current public polls is preposterous. In the RealClearPolitics.com average of recent polls, Trump trails Clinton by 6 points, 47 to 41 percent. Ted Cruz, in contrast, ...Read more

Only Ted Cruz Can Stop Donald Trump

From the Right / Michael Barone /

Can Donald Trump be stopped from winning the Republican nomination? The answer is yes. Despite his big win over Marco Rubio in Florida and his narrow wins over Ted Cruz in Illinois, Missouri and North Carolina, he has not won a majority of delegates yet awarded -- 661 at this writing, with several more to be added when Missouri and Illinois ...Read more

Will the Politics of Nostalgia Trump the Politics of the Future?

From the Right / Michael Barone /

The likely presidential nominee of the Republican Party and the certain (barring indictments) nominee of the Democratic Party have something in common, something more than residences in New York: campaign appeals based on nostalgia.

Consider Donald Trump's official campaign slogan, "Make America Great Again." His reference point is not the ...Read more

Democrats Dispirited, Republicans Hobbled by Excess of Spirit

From the Right / Michael Barone /

Bad news for both parties in the primaries and caucuses in the seven days in March following Super Tuesday.

Start with the higher-ratings, higher-turnout Republican race. Donald Trump won two solid victories in Michigan and Mississippi Tuesday, after weak showings in the five contests over the weekend. From March 2 to March 8 he netted 124 ...Read more

Will a Republican Majority Rally to Defeat Trump?

From the Right / Michael Barone /

The Republican race for president last week converged, suddenly and briefly, in Detroit. In the Fox Theatre, one of the nation's great 1920s movie palaces, the four remaining presidential candidates fought it out in the Fox News debate.

Earlier that day, Mitt Romney, who grew up in Detroit and suburban Bloomfield Hills when the Motor City was...Read more

Can Donald Trump Be Stopped? Maybe

From the Right / Michael Barone /

The Republican race goes on after Super Tuesday. In ordinary years, Donald Trump's wins in seven of the 11 Super Tuesday contests after three out of four wins in February, together with his delegate lead, would make him the nominee. Politicians would hurry to back the apparent winner.

But, thanks to Trump, this is not an ordinary year, and ...Read more

Arizona, Not Trump, Shows Republicans the Way on Immigration

From the Right / Michael Barone /

In last Thursday's slam-bang Republican debate everyone saw Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz do a fine job of demonstrating Donald Trump's ignorance and inconsistencies. But many may not have noticed Cruz's citation of a Feb. 9 Wall Street Journal article that casts light on the immigration issue -- and suggests strongly that Cruz's and Rubio's ...Read more

Trump's Rivals Must Make the Case for Themselves

From the Right / Michael Barone /

Does Donald Trump's big win in the Nevada caucuses mean he's the inevitable Republican nominee? He has made himself the favorite and could sew up the nomination with the first winner-take-all primaries March 15. But it's not inevitable that he will become the nominee. The question is how others can prevent it.

Trump won 46 percent in Nevada; ...Read more

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