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Philosophy

The Idea of Progress, An inguiry into its origin and growth

J.B. Bury

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CHAPTER VII

NEW CONCEPTIONS OF HISTORY: MONTESQUIEU, VOLTAIRE, TURGOT

The theory of human Progress could not be durably established by
abstract arguments, or on the slender foundations laid by the Abbe
de Saint-Pierre. It must ultimately be judged by the evidence
afforded by history, and it is not accidental that,
contemporaneously with the advent of this idea, the study of history
underwent a revolution. If Progress was to be more than the sanguine
dream of an optimist it must be shown that man's career on earth had
not been a chapter of accidents which might lead anywhere or
nowhere, but is subject to discoverable laws which have determined
its general route, and will secure his arrival at the desirable
place. Hitherto a certain order and unity had been found in history
by the Christian theory of providential design and final causes. New
principles of order and unity were needed to replace the principles
which rationalism had discredited. Just as the advance of science
depended on the postulate that physical phenomena are subject to
invariable laws, so if any conclusions were to be drawn from history
some similar postulate as to social phenomena was required.

It was thus in harmony with the general movement of thought that
about the middle of the eighteenth century new lines of
investigation were opened leading to sociology, the history of
civilisation, and the philosophy of history. Montesquieu's De
l'esprit des lois, which may claim to be the parent work of modern
social science, Voltaire's Essai sur les moeurs, and Turgot's plan
of a Histoire universelle begin a new era in man's vision of the
past.

1.

Montesquieu was not among the apostles of the idea of Progress. It
never secured any hold upon his mind. But he had grown up in the
same intellectual climate in which that idea was produced; he had
been nurtured both on the dissolving, dialectic of Bayle, and on the
Cartesian enunciation of natural law. And his work contributed to
the service, not of the doctrine of the past, but of the doctrine of
the future.

For he attempted to extend the Cartesian theory to social facts. He
laid down that political, like physical, phenomena are subject to
general laws. He had already conceived this, his most striking and
important idea, when he wrote the Considerations on the Greatness
and Decadence of the Romans (1734), in which he attempted to apply
it:

It is not Fortune who governs the world, as we see from the history
of the Romans. There are general causes, moral or physical, which
operate in every monarchy, raise it, maintain it, or overthrow it;
all that occurs is subject to these causes; and if a particular
cause, like the accidental result of a battle, has ruined a state,
there was a general cause which made the downfall of this state
ensue from a single battle. In a word, the principal movement
(l'allure principale) draws with it all the particular occurrences.

But if this excludes Fortune it also dispenses with Providence,
design, and final causes; and one of the effects of the
Considerations which Montesquieu cannot have overlooked was to
discredit Bossuet's treatment of history.

The Esprit des lois appeared fourteen years later. Among books which
have exercised a considerable influence on thought few are more
disappointing to a modern reader. The author had not the gift of
what might be called logical architecture, and his work produces the
effect of a collection of ideas which he was unable to co-ordinate
in the clarity of a system. A new principle, the operation of
general causes, is enthroned; but, beyond the obvious distinction of
physical and moral, they are not classified. We have no guarantee
that the moral causes are fully enumerated, and those which are
original are not distinguished from those which are derived. The
general cause which Montesquieu impresses most clearly on the
reader's mind is that of physical environment--geography and
climate.

The influence of climate on civilisation was not a new idea. In
modern times, as we have seen, it was noticed by Bodin and
recognised by Fontenelle. The Abbe de Saint-Pierre applied it to
explain the origin of the Mohammedan religion, and the Abbe Du Bos
in his Reflexions on Poetry and Painting maintained that climate
helps to determine the epochs of art and science. Chardin in his
Travels, a book which Montesquieu studied, had also appreciated its
importance. But Montesquieu drew general attention to it, and since
he wrote, geographical conditions have been recognised by all
inquirers as an influential factor in the development of human
societies. His own discussion of the question did not result in any
useful conclusions. He did not determine the limits of the action of
physical conditions, and a reader hardly knows whether to regard
them as fundamental or accessory, as determining the course of
civilisation or only perturbing it. "Several things govern men," he
says, "climate, religion, laws, precepts of government, historical
examples, morals, and manners, whence is formed as their result a
general mind (esprit general)." This co-ordination of climate with
products of social life is characteristic of his unsystematic
thought. But the remark which the author went on to make, that there
is always a correlation between the laws of a people and its esprit
general, was important. It pointed to the theory that all the
products of social life are closely interrelated.

In Montesquieu's time people were under the illusion that
legislation has an almost unlimited power to modify social
conditions. We have seen this in the case of Saint-Pierre.
Montesquieu's conception of general laws should have been an
antidote to this belief. It had however less effect on his
contemporaries than we might have expected, and they found more to
their purpose in what he said of the influence of laws on manners.
There may be something in Comte's suggestion that he could not give
his conception any real consistency or vigour, just because he was
himself unconsciously under the influence of excessive faith in the
effects of legislative action.

A fundamental defect in Montesquieu's treatment of social phenomena
is that he abstracted them from their relations in time. It was his
merit to attempt to explain the correlation of laws and institutions
with historical circumstances, but he did not distinguish or connect
stages of civilisation. He was inclined to confound, as Sorel has
observed, all periods and constitutions. Whatever be the value of
the idea of Progress, we may agree with Comte that, if Montesquieu
had grasped it, he would have produced a more striking work. His
book announces a revolution in the study of political science, but
in many ways belongs itself to the pre-Montesquieu era.

2.

In the same years in which Montesquieu was busy on the composition
of the Esprit des lois, Voltaire was writing his Age of Louis XIV.
and his Essay on the Manners and Mind of Nations, and on the
Principal Facts of History from Charlemagne to the Death of Louis
XIII. The former work, which everybody reads still, appeared in
1751. Parts of the Essay, which has long since fallen into neglect,
were published in the Mercure de France between 1745 and 1751; it
was issued complete in 1756, along with the Age of Louis XIV., which
was its continuation. If we add the Precis of the Reign of Louis XV.
(1769), and observe that the Introduction and first fourteen
chapters of the Essay sketch the history of the world before
Charlemagne, and that China, India, and America are included in the
survey, Voltaire's work amounts to a complete survey of the
civilisation of the world from the earliest times to his own. If
Montesquieu founded social science, Voltaire created the history of
civilisation, and the Essay, for all its limitations, stands out as
one of the considerable books of the century.

In his Age of Louis XIV. he announced that his object was "to paint
not the actions of a single man, but the mind of men (l'esprit des
hommes) in the most enlightened age that had ever been," and that
"the progress of the arts and sciences" was an essential part of his
subject. In the same way he proposed in the Essay to trace
"l'histoire de l'esprit humain," not the details of facts, and to
show by what steps man advanced "from the barbarous rusticity" of
the times of Charlemagne and his successors "to the politeness of
our own." To do this, he said, was really to write the history of
opinion, for all the great successive social and political changes
which have transformed the world were due to changes of opinion.
Prejudice succeeded prejudice, error followed error; "at last, with
time men came to correct their ideas and learn to think."

The motif of the book is, briefly, that wars and religions have been
the great obstacles to the progress of humanity, and that if they
were abolished, with the prejudices which engender them, the world
would rapidly improve.

"We may believe," he says, "that reason and industry will always
progress more and more; that the useful arts will be improved; that
of the evils which have afflicted men, prejudices, which are not
their least scourge, will gradually disappear among all those who
govern nations, and that philosophy, universally diffused, will give
some consolation to human nature for the calamities which it will
experience in all ages."

This indeed is not the tone of the Abbe de Saint-Pierre. Voltaire's
optimism was always tempered with cynicism. But the idea of Progress
is there, though moderately conceived. And it is based on the same
principle--universal reason implanted in man, which "subsists in
spite of all the passions which make war on it, in spite of all the
tyrants who would drown it in blood, in spite of the imposters who
would annihilate it by superstition." And this was certainly his
considered view. His common sense prevented him from indulging in
Utopian speculations about the future; and his cynicism constantly
led him to use the language of a pessimist. But at an early stage of
his career he had taken up arms for human nature against that
"sublime misanthrope" Pascal, who "writes against human nature
almost as he wrote against the Jesuits"; and he returned to the
attack at the end of his life. Now Pascal's Pensees enshrined a
theory of life--the doctrine of original sin, the idea that the
object of life is to prepare for death--which was sternly opposed to
the spirit of Progress. Voltaire instinctively felt that this was an
enemy that had to be dealt with. In a lighter vein he had maintained
in a well-known poem, Le Mondain, [Footnote: 1756.] the value of
civilisation and all its effects, including luxury, against those
who regretted the simplicity of ancient times, the golden age of
Saturn.

  O le bon temps que ce siecle de fer!


Life in Paris, London, or Rome to-day is infinitely preferable to
life in the garden of Eden.

  D'un bon vin frais ou la mousse ou la seve
   Ne gratta point le triste gosier d'Eve.
   La soie et l'or ne brillaient point chez eux.
   Admirez-vous pour cela nos aieux?
   Il leur manquait l'industrie et l'aisance:
   Est-ce vertu? c'etait pure ignorance.


To return to the Essay, it flung down the gage of battle to that
conception of the history of the world which had been brilliantly
represented by Bossuet's Discours sur l'histoire universelle. This
work was constantly in Voltaire's mind. He pointed out that it had
no claim to be universal; it related only to four or five peoples,
and especially the little Jewish nation which "was unknown to the
rest of the world or justly despised," but which Bossuet made the
centre of interest, as if the final cause of all the great empires
of antiquity lay in their relations to the Jews. He had Bossuet in
mind when he said "we will speak of the Jews as we would speak of
Scythians or Greeks, weighing probabilities and discussing facts."
In his new perspective the significance of Hebrew history is for the
first time reduced to moderate limits.

But it was not only in this particular, though central, point that
Voltaire challenged Bossuet's view. He eliminated final causes
altogether, and Providence plays no part on his historical stage.
Here his work reinforced the teaching of Montesquieu. Otherwise
Montesquieu and Voltaire entirely differed in their methods.
Voltaire concerned himself only with the causal enchainment of
events and the immediate motives of men. His interpretation of
history was confined to the discovery of particular causes; he did
not consider the operation of those larger general causes which
Montesquieu investigated. Montesquieu sought to show that the
vicissitudes of societies were subject to law; Voltaire believed
that events were determined by chance where they were not
consciously guided by human reason. The element of chance is
conspicuous even in legislation: "almost all laws have been
instituted to meet passing needs, like remedies applied
fortuitously, which have cured one patient and kill others."

On Voltaire's theory, the development of humanity might at any
moment have been diverted into a different course; but whatever
course it took the nature of human reason would have ensured a
progress in civilisation. Yet the reader of the Essay and Louis XIV.
might well have come away with a feeling that the security of
Progress is frail and precarious. If fortune has governed events, if
the rise and fall of empires, the succession of religions, the
revolutions of states, and most of the great crises of history were
decided by accidents, is there any cogent ground for believing that
human reason, the principle to which Voltaire attributes the advance
of civilisation, will prevail in the long run? Civilisation has been
organised here and there, now and then, up to a certain point; there
have been eras of rapid progress, but how can we be sure that these
are not episodes, themselves also fortuitous? For growth has been
followed by decay, progress by regress; can it be said that history,
authorises the conclusion that reason will ever gain such an
ascendancy that the play of chance will no longer be able to thwart
her will? Is such a conclusion more than a hope, unsanctioned by the
data of past experience, merely one of the characteristics of the
age of illumination?

Voltaire and Montesquieu thus raised fundamental questions of great
moment for the doctrine of Progress, questions which belong to what
was soon to be known as the Philosophy of History, a name invented
by Voltaire, though hardly meant by him in the sense which it
afterwards assumed.

3.

Six years before Voltaire's Essay was published in its complete form
a young man was planning a work on the same subject. Turgot is
honourably remembered as an economist and administrator, but if he
had ever written the Discourses on Universal History which he
designed at the age of twenty-three his position in historical
literature might have overshadowed his other claims to be
remembered. We possess a partial sketch of its plan, which is
supplemented by two lectures he delivered at the Sorbonne in 1750;
so that we know his general conceptions.

He had assimilated the ideas of the Esprit des lois, and it is
probable that he had read the parts of Voltaire's work which had
appeared in a periodical. His work, like Voltaire's, was to be a
challenge to Bossuet's view of history; his purpose was to trace the
fortunes of the race in the light of the idea of Progress. He
occasionally refers to Providence but this is no more than a prudent
lip-service. Providence has no functions in his scheme. The part
which it played in Bossuet is usurped by those general causes which
he had learned from Montesquieu. But his systematic mind would have
organised and classified the ideas which Montesquieu left somewhat
confused. He criticised the inductions drawn in the Esprit des lois
concerning the influence of climate as hasty and exaggerated; and he
pointed out that the physical causes can only produce their effects
by acting on "the hidden principles which contribute to form our
mind and character." It follows that the psychical or moral causes
are the first element to consider, and it is a fault of method to
try to evaluate physical causes till we have exhausted the moral,
and are certain that the phenomena cannot be explained by these
alone. In other words, the study of the development of societies
must be based on psychology; and for Turgot, as for all his
progressive contemporaries, psychology meant the philosophy of
Locke.

General necessary causes, therefore, which we should rather call
conditions, have determined the course of history--the nature of
man, his passions, and his reason, in the first place; and in the
second, his environment,--geography and climate. But its course is a
strict sequence of particular causes and effects, "which bind the
state of the world (at a given moment) to all those which have
preceded it." Turgot does not discuss the question of free-will, but
his causal continuity does not exclude "the free action of great
men." He conceives universal history as the progress of the human
race advancing as an immense whole steadily, though slowly, through
alternating periods of calm and disturbance towards greater
perfection. The various units of the entire mass do not move with
equal steps, because nature is not impartial with her gifts. Some
men have talents denied to others, and the gifts of nature are
sometimes developed by circumstances, sometimes left buried in
obscurity. The inequalities in the march of nations are due to the
infinite variety of circumstances; and these inequalities may be
taken to prove that the world had a beginning, for in an eternal
duration they would have disappeared.

But the development of human societies has not been guided by human
reason. Men have not consciously made general happiness the end of
their actions. They have been conducted by passion and ambition and
have never known to what goal they were moving. For if reason had
presided, progress would soon have been arrested. To avoid war
peoples would have remained in isolation, and the race would have
lived divided for ever into a multitude of isolated groups, speaking
different tongues. All these groups would have been limited in the
range of their ideas, stationary in science, art, and government,
and would never have risen above mediocrity. The history of China is
an example of the results of restricted intercourse among peoples.
Thus the unexpected conclusion emerges, that without unreason and
injustice there would have been no progress.

It is hardly necessary to observe that this argument is untenable.
The hypothesis assumes that reason is in control among the primitive
peoples, and at the same time supposes that its power would
completely disappear if they attempted to engage in peaceful
intercourse. But though Turgot has put his point in an unconvincing
form, his purpose was to show that as a matter of fact "the
tumultuous and dangerous passions" have been driving-forces which
have moved the world in a desirable direction till the time should
come for reason to take the helm.

Thus, while Turgot might have subscribed to Voltaire's assertion
that history is largely "un ramas de crimes, de folies, et de
malheurs," his view of the significance of man's sufferings is
different and almost approaches the facile optimism of Pope--
"whatever is, is right." He regards all the race's actual
experiences as the indispensable mechanism of Progress, and does not
regret its mistakes and calamities. Many changes and revolutions, he
observes, may seem to have had most mischievous effects; yet every
change has brought some advantage, for it has been a new experience
and therefore has been instructive. Man advances by committing
errors. The history of science shows (as Fontenelle had pointed out)
that truth is reached over the ruins of false hypotheses.

The difficulty presented by periods of decadence and barbarism
succeeding epochs of enlightenment is met by the assertion that in
such dark times the world has not stood still; there has really been
a progression which, though relatively inconspicuous, is not
unimportant. In the Middle Ages, which are the prominent case, there
were improvements in mechanical arts, in commerce, in some of the
habits of civil life, all of which helped to prepare the way for
happier times. Here Turgot's view of history is sharply opposed to
Voltaire's. He considers Christianity to have been a powerful agent
of civilisation, not a hinderer or an enemy. Had he executed his
design, his work might well have furnished a notable makeweight to
the view held by Voltaire, and afterwards more judicially developed
by Gibbon, that "the triumph of barbarism and religion" was a
calamity for the world.

Turgot also propounded two laws of development. He observed that
when a people is progressing, every step it takes causes an
acceleration in the rate of progress. And he anticipated Comte's
famous "law" of the three stages of intellectual evolution, though
without giving it the extensive and fundamental significance which
Comte claimed for it. "Before man understood the causal connection
of physical phenomena, nothing was so natural as to suppose they
were produced by intelligent beings, invisible and resembling
ourselves; for what else would they have resembled?" That is Comte's
theological stage. "When philosophers recognised the absurdity of
the fables about the gods, but had not yet gained an insight into
natural history, they thought to explain the causes of phenomena by
abstract expressions such as essences and faculties." That is the
metaphysical stage. "It was only at a later period, that by
observing the reciprocal mechanical action of bodies hypotheses were
formed which could be developed by mathematics and verified by
experience." There is the positive stage. The observation assuredly
does not possess the far-reaching importance which Comte attached to
it; but whatever value it has, Turgot deserves the credit of having
been the first to state it.

The notes which Turgot made for his plan permit us to conjecture
that his Universal History would have been a greater and more
profound work than the Essay of Voltaire. It would have embodied in
a digested form the ideas of Montesquieu to which Voltaire paid
little attention, and the author would have elaborated the intimate
connection and mutual interaction among all social phenomena--
government and morals, religion, science, and arts. While his
general thesis coincided with that of Voltaire--the gradual advance
of humanity towards a state of enlightenment and reasonableness,--he
made the idea of Progress more vital; for him it was an organising
conception, just as the idea of Providence was for St. Augustine and
Bossuet an organising conception, which gave history its unity and
meaning. The view that man has throughout been blindly moving in the
right direction is the counterpart of what Bossuet represented as a
divine plan wrought out by the actions of men who are ignorant of
it, and is sharply opposed to the views, of Voltaire and the other
philosophers of the day who ascribed Progress exclusively to human
reason consciously striving against ignorance and passion.
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